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Name: SoCal FairTax
Location: Long Beach, CA
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FairTax Arguments for Simplicity

In my discussion with Andrew on important considerations for a tax system I argue that simplicity is something to seek whereas Andrew believes that simplicity is not so important. Andrew has his Simplicity write-up for your viewing pleasure.

All things being equal (i.e. does it treat taxpayers in a fair and balanced way), I do believe that simplicity in a tax system is something to strive for.   When I consider simplicity I am essentially considering the following:

  1. 1.       Can the taxpayers (and tax collectors) understand what is expected of them without having a degree in taxation?
  2. 2.       Does the taxpayer have to jump through complex hoops to comply?
  3. 3.       Is the taxpayer restricted unnecessarily?

Since our current system is what we are used to, I provide examples from my own experience of what is required for our current tax filings. I have a small business and a family of four. My CPA does taxes for both entities because he has expertise that I would never be able to apply in order to pay my required share. 

On the business side I am required to withhold income and payroll taxes from payroll checks. I am required to withhold at different rates for different earning brackets and to stop withholding certain taxes when certain thresholds are reached. I am required to file 941 payroll tax deposits with each pay cycle. I am required to file quarterly reconciliation reports. I am required to report new hires. I am required to keep track of all revenues and expenses. Some capital expenditures I must expense years into the future. Some provisions allow me accelerated depreciation when the government wants to prime the economy. I file W2s, 1099’s etc. as well an annual tax return which, as a subchapter S corporation, flows income for my personal income filing through a for K1.

As an individual I may have to file quarterly estimated taxes. I fund my Individual Retirement Accounts, Health Savings Account, College Savings Account, Variable Life Insurance (all to reduce taxes and make my financial planners money).  I gather up all my W2s, 1099s, 5498-SAs for investment income, salary/wage earnings, interest income, dividend income so I can file my annual tax returns… I can write off mortgage interest. I get child credits. I can also write-off some losses (but I may have to take losses over time so that the government is sure to get their money). I may get some tax credits for certain activities. I may be subject to the alternative minimum tax. I may or may not get a tax refund.

Oh, and if I have a significant event in my life… I better talk to a tax specialist. If my health deteriorates and I am forced to cash in an investment, I must prepare to pay Uncle Sam before I take care of my specific needs.

Perhaps complexity is by design… If our politicians in their infinite wisdom make things complex, perhaps folks just won’t itemize & the government gets to keep taxes in excess of what is actually due… If so, who does this affect the most? Not the wealthy who can afford tax planners.

Does the current income tax pass my litmus test? No.

  1. 1.       No, not everyone can understand it. It is 66,000 pages… not exactly a weekend read.
  2. 2.      Yes, taxpayers have to jump through hoops to comply.  Businesses pass these compliance costs onto consumers as a cost of doing business.
  3. 3.      Yes, taxpayers are unnecessarily restricted. To avoid paying more than due, we must separate funds into IRAs, HSAs, Variable Life Policies, etc.  We have tax consequences when we need to cash in on investments and even when we leave money to our heirs. 

There are too many entities and too many moving parts. Every business AND individual has significant filing requirements. The average person cannot understand this complexity.

As an option, we have the FairTax bill which has the following requirements:

1.       Registered Sellers file regular Sales Tax returns and remit payment of 23% based on the sale of new goods and services. These sales tax filings will likely be made part of a combined Federal and State sales tax filings vs. a separate federal and state sales tax filings.

2.       Consumers consume and see the 23% tax appear on their sales receipts.

3.       Qualified Families can register annually in order to receive monthly prebate checks.

Is it really that easy? For most of us, yes. Can it be more complex? Sure. Families using unregistered domestic help are required to remit the sales tax. There will be other possible complexities as well but this is far simpler than our current system. Does the FairTax pass the my litmus test?

  1. 1.      Yes, everyone can understand it.
  2. 2.      No, the taxpayer does not have to jump through hoops to comply.
  3. 3.      No, the taxpayer is not unnecessarily restricted. Consume services and new goods? Pay the tax. Consume used goods, pay no tax.

Now, in fairness, a Flat Tax that is void of massive complexity would be simpler than what we have now but… where the FairTax puts only a small filing burden on registered sellers (sellers of new goods and services) the Flat Tax puts a more significant burden on every family and business to track revenues & expenses. Both are an improvement over what we have currently but, in my estimate, the FairTax is simpler and better.

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Taxation Solution Requirements continued

Here's a reply to Andrews' Reframing the Debate post.

When attempting to consider solutions to existing problems is it not appropriate to have goals and objectives that deal with existing deficiencies? Creating goals and objectives in a vacuum or against some fantasy (untaxed) land isn’t realistic. We all have familiarity with the current tax system and should use it as a baseline (since this is what we desire to move away from).

Andrew writes “We need to evaluate each tax system against a system without taxes to see how that system changes the economy.”

Exactly whose economy are you using as a baseline if we aren’t talking about our economy? To be clear - our economy has run under our present system in one form or another for nearly an entire century. Again, how can we know what changes will occur unless we compare to what is known. I maintain that it is completely appropriate to compare to our current system.

Also, I keep hearing the WTO argument. How does the WTO deal with state sales tax? I really don’t understand the concern with the WTO. Does the WTO influence the EEC from stripping away VATs from export items that make it to our shores? What if duty and a national sales tax were one and the same? I am doing my best not to pick a tax solution (FairTax, Flat Tax)… I am mainly trying to identify deficiencies with our current tax system as objectives to strive for fixing in a new tax system.

In terms of Andrew’s ground rules… 

1.   I do see a real urgency. The runaway stagecoach is extreme but Andrew’s argument that our tax system hasn’t ended the world in the last 100 years with our present system does not apply either. The world is different today than it was 25/50/100 years ago. The next 25 years will be different than our last 25 years just as the 5 years preceding 2005 for Real Estate were different than the years immediately after 2005. At what point do we choose to reverse the trend of jobs, capital, and opportunity fleeing our lands? While we still can or when it is too late?
2. Agreed that a new system must be MUCH better than our current system.

3. Yes, there is always uncertainty. There was uncertainty ahead of the American Revolution. Our founding fathers embarked on something that had never been tried before. There is uncertainty with staying with our current tax system as well.

4. Coming up with the exhaustive analysis of pro and con I will leave up to the analysts. I am going to focus on common sense in my arguments.

5. As indicated above, it is impossible to compare a new system to a system of no taxation as a baseline. There are no real-world problems to compare against. 6. When we define (and agree on) the objectives, we can consider solutions (FairTax, Flat Tax, etc.) against the objectives. Regarding an argument for against a national tax, we both agree that this would be unrealistic.

So, at this point where do we stand with solutions requirements? My tally is as follows Objective - YK favorable/Andrew favorable

1. Simple (Y/N)
2. Fund our government at the same level. (Y/Y)
3. Remove barriers to Economic Growth. (Y/Y)
4. Remove barriers to U.S. Competiveness Internationally (Y/Y)
5. Minimize barriers to Capital Investment in the U.S. (Y/Y)
6. Minimize barriers to Capital Formation in the U.S. (Y/Y)
7. Minimize loss of productivity as a consequence of taxation (Y/Y)
8. Respect privacy and civil rights (Y/N)
9. Make the true cost of government transparent. (Y/?)
10. Remove barriers to upward mobility. (Y/?)
11. Lower the cost of employment (Y/?)
12. Minimize barriers to Create Jobs (Y/?)
13. Treat everyone equitably (Y/Y)
14. Minimize barriers to capital formation and entrepreneurship (Y/?)
15. Level the playing field between small and large business (Y/?)
16. Minimize Tax Planning as a Burden (Y/?)
17. Easy to administer (Y/?)
18. Address Medicare and Social Security (Y/?)
19. Minimizes the individual harm done (Y/Y)
20. Treats all individuals and all types of income and wealth similarly (Y/Y)
21. Does not target specific acts or assets for favorable or punitive treatment (Y/Y)
22. Has the lowest total administrative cost per dollar of revenue (Y/Y)
23. Taxes only enough to cover needs, not more (N/Y)
24. Produces consistent results (Y/Y)

Please note that Andrew ’ s objectives have been added to the list as items 19-24 but that they are no more or less important that the objectives that I list.  If we can agree to clear out the objectives that we agree on, I would like focus on the objectives that we don't agree on to either (1) gain consensus or (2) agree to disagree.

YK

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Clarification of Tax Objectives

 

Andrew and I have been having a conversation about my advocacy and his opposition of the FairTax. He recently gave a reply Partial Reply to yt_knight to some objectives that I listed. First, some common ground:

I largely accept all of the bullet points that Andrew puts forth (restated below).

1. Minimizes the individual harm done
2. Treats all individuals and all types of income and wealth similarly
3. Does not target specific acts or assets for favorable or punitive treatment
4. Has the lowest total administrative cost per dollar of revenue
5. Taxes only enough to cover needs, not more
6. Produces consistent results

I would argue about Andrew’s point #5 in my point #2 below. I also argue that we should maintain funding to pay down (and eliminate) the national debt but otherwise we are in agreement on his points.

I would also argue that we are not far apart on several of the 18 objectives that I put forth in my FairTax counter - change for change sake... blog entry even though Andrew chose to argue semantics.   If Andrew simply argued from common agreement that some form of tax system is required vs. pitting my objectives against a system of no taxes whatsoever it would have been more constructive. To avoid the game of semantics perhaps I should have rephrased objectives to communicate “keeping harm to a minimum”. For instance, point #3 could have been rephrased to “minimize barriers to economic growth” rather than “promote economic growth”.  A clarification/counterargument on these points… Again, I believe that our tax system should be:

  1. 1.       Simple (i.e. ability for taxpayers to comply without expensive tax preparation fees).   I agree that it should be consistent too.
  2. 2.       Fund our government at the same level. I argue that massive tax reform will be hard enough to pass without including provisions to cut spending. I agree that government spending needs to be cut but I argue that taxing and spending need to be addressed separately – otherwise neither will pass if they are bundled into one reform push.
  3. 3.       Remove barriers to Economic Growth.  
  4. 4.       Remove barriers to U.S. Competiveness Internationally – (Promote U.S. Competitiveness) – I argue that when taxes are ultimately priced into U.S. products and services (ahead of actual consumption) that competing products/services that strip these taxes (either partially or entirely) ahead of export have a great advantage. Andrew puts forth an argument that the U.S. might run afoul of the WTO. Really? Is our country sovereign or not? Besides, isn’t the U.S. paying the largest tab for peace-keeping military efforts globally? Why shouldn’t we have a right to have a tax system that levels the playing field in terms of global competitiveness?
  5. 5.       Minimize barriers to Capital Investment in the U.S. – High Corporate taxes chase away capital investment in our lands. Any tax system (FairTax, Flat Tax, or otherwise) that eliminates corporate taxes does much to solve this problem.
  6. 6.       Minimize barriers to Capital Formation in the U.S. In a prosperous society I argue that a proper balance will be struck between investment and consumption.   Also, when the burden of tax planning is removed from business (i.e. what is the tax consequence of purchasing that equipment this year vs. next fiscal tax reporting year), commerce becomes more fluid. Many bold initiatives are often shelved (or altered) because of tax consequences given our current tax code. 
  7. 7.       Minimize loss of productivity as a consequence of taxation – I agree with Andrew that 5, 6, and 7 are interrelated. In addition, though, unleashing small business (removing barriers) will create even more productivity and higher GDP.
  8. 8.       Respect privacy and civil rights. Andrew and I disagree here. The income tax is intrusive and abusive requiring a running tally of all sources of income. There is no requirement in the FairTax to report detail of all purchases to the taxing agency (only monthly totals).   A key problem with the IRS is that we are presumed guilty with the burden of proof on us. A reformed tax system should presume innocence with the burden on the government to prove otherwise.
  9. 9.       Make the true cost of government transparent. Andrew missed my point here. My argument here is that tax incentives on the income side of the ledger are completely hidden from “We the People”. In order for government to be transparent, all spending should show up on the spending side of the ledger. It is impossible to see what programs are being assisted (funded) via tax incentives when their programs never appear on the spend side of the ledger. I believe Andrew and I agree that free markets that do not create winners and losers in the tax code are preferable.
  10. 10.   Remove barriers to upward mobility. My argument here is that it is preferable for families to be able to choose when to pay their taxes vs. have the government reach into our wallets as we earn… If young families choose to rein in spending in order to save, invest, and build their nest egg and then choose to consume more (and therefore fund our government more) after they are on solid financial footing they have more control over their lives. Try doing that under our current tax system. Work two jobs & you get elevated into a higher tax bracket & the government takes even more earnings.
  11. 11.   Lower the cost of employment – Andrew misses the point here. By removing income and payroll tax withholding along with all of the associated compliance issues the cost of employment drops period. Not sure why Andrew went off on other non-employment arguments with this point…
  12. 12.   Minimize barriers to Create Jobs – Small business and entrepreneurship has the potential to create more jobs when barriers are removed. Currently, if it takes $10,000,000 in labor and services to get a company off the ground (R&D, legal formation, marketing, operations, etc.) the government will get their roughly $2,300,000 in embedded labor taxes before sale #1 is even made – unless, of course, we have tax incentives but we are trying to get away from that right?
  13. 13.   Treat everyone equitably – no disagreement so no further clarification
  14. 14.   Minimize barriers to capital formation and entrepreneurship – with the addition of my argument from #12 above… Also, forming capital is easier when there is no tax consequence on the investment side.
  15. 15.   Level the playing field between small and large business. Andrew and I agree that relative size of business should be of no concern. High compliance costs favor large business. Large business has the wherewithal to lobby congress and create tax advantages. This cannot be said for small business. A tax system that levels the playing field is more equitable.
  16. 16.   Remove Tax Planning as a Burden – Andrew tries to minimize this issue but many investment decisions (capital expenditures, etc.) under the current tax system require careful thought to tax consequences. As indicated, some expenditures are shelved or delayed due to tax unfavorable consequences.
  17. 17.   Easy to administer – I argue that this is essential. If Andrew wants to argue for argument sake (see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teMlv3ripSM) that’s fine but simplicity is a goal because complexity costs money.  Yes, I agree that there is a balance but ease of administration should be considered.
  18. 18.   Address Medicare and Social Security – Andrew claims that these programs are not part of the tax system. I wonder if Andrew gets a paycheck & sees that 7.65% of his gross wages (+ another 7.65% that the employer matches) is withheld. If these programs aren’t dealt with at the same time as the income tax where should they be dealt with?
Now, prior to continuing a CurrentTaxFairTax/FlatTax/OtherTax debate, I invite Andrew to reconsider the objectives.  Afterall, if we can't agree on objectives how can we debate the effectiveness of one system over another?
 
Cheers,
 
YK
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FairTax - Fairness Across Generations

 

I have had the opportunity to debate GyroTyro (GT)over the last week about the FairTax and how it treats different generations. Some interesting revelations came of this debate.

  1. 1.       It is very clear that those in/near retirement have real concerns about double-taxation
  2. 2.       No generation wants to feel as though it is being taken advantage of

As much is our debate teetered beyond civil in some cases, I appreciate GT’s perspective and I appreciate his concerns. If I were in my twilight years after having paid taxes out of my earnings all of my working years and then I were faced with the proposition of having to be taxed again I wouldn’t be happy about it either. Let’s break things down though to determine whether retired folks will be better off, worse off, or about the same with a change to the FairTax.

First-off, it is worth mentioning that the first $10,400 per adult ($20,800 per married couple) of taxable consumption go completely untaxed with the FairTax. Let’s set this aside for now but it is a key provision that puts families’ and individuals’ survival first ahead of government needs.

Pricing of products/services:

Under the FairTax, anything 100% provided by U.S. Labor will be largely a wash (give or take 2-3 %). Embedded taxes that make their way into the pricing of U.S-made products and services via payroll tax, corporate tax, and tax compliance burdens on corporations (estimated 22%) get stripped away from the productivity side but then added back at the point of business-to-consumer sale at 23-cents-on-the-dollar. Net effect? A $100 pair of U.S.-made boots might cost $102 at the register. A $100 medical procedure might cost $98.00 with the FairTax. In effect, it is basically a wash.

What about imported items which is a concern of GTs? Well, if manufacturing is still roughly 30% of the ultimate cost of goods sold (as it was when I studied in Business School), than 70% of the price of an imported item (say for a $100 pair of loafers) would involve U.S. marketing, distribution, admin, and profit of 70% ($70) which would have 22% embedded tax stripped away ($15.40). Adding the FairTax in on an $84.60 item gives us an after-FairTax price of $110. 

Now a 10% increase over what it would cost at the register preFairTax for imported items is not attractive if it is considered in a vacuum but remember, we are only talking about imported items & how many individuals buy 100% imported goods and no domestically provided services? Is a 50/50 split reasonable? That would be a 5% overall increase in price. How about a 30/70 split which would result in an approximate 3% after-FairTax increase in price? 

Still, we are trying to prove that the FairTax, at worst, will be a lateral move for seniors so even 3% is unacceptable.

But does this hypothetical retired person have any income (social security, interest income, dividends, capital gains, rental income, etc.)? No more filing income tax returns… no more paying the CPA to generate tax returns… No taxable income? Well, we could argue that he/she has no business buying expensive imported items. In fact, we this person could be thrifty and maximize consumption of second-hand items (even imported second-hand items if desired) completely tax free since used goods are not taxable items under the FairTax.

Okay, so given the above, most seniors are better off under the FairTax than with the current system but if we aren’t quite there yet for some… let’s go ahead and add the FairTax prebate in ($200 per adult per month in 2008 figures).

Am I good with this realizing that I have a mother and father approaching their 70s with plenty of kick left in the years ahead? Absolutely. 

Under the FairTax we have much more control over our lives which is a great thing. I hope folks can see it.

Finally, it is worth mentioning for my friend GT’s sake that fairness across generations works both ways. As a 44 year-old, I have been paying into Social Security and Medicare for over 25 years. I will continue to pay until either the FairTax gets implemented (at which time Social Security and Medicare will be funded out of the general fund) or until it goes bankrupt. I have no illusion that I will receive dime #1 back from these programs under the current tax structure. So where you (GT) may be concerned about paying during your income-earning years and then paying again via consumption in your twilight years (but receiving Social Security and Medicare Benefits), I have a concern about paying all along the way and receiving no Social Security/Medicare Benefits. The generational argument cuts both ways.

This has been a good exercise for me. I hope others get some benefit as well.

Cheers,

YK

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FairTax counter - change for change sake...

My reply to ch-ch-changes argument...  Let's get to the heart of the matter.

How interesting… When I look back at my entries I describe in detail what change will benefit our nation and the people of our lands. How you could Andrew miss the message? 

I describe how our current tax system chases job, businesses, capital, and prosperity away from our lands and that the FairTax can reverse this devastating trend. 

Andrew and I both know that any taxation on the productivity side gets passed along in the pricing of goods and services. The FairTax simply removes taxes from the productivity side (at every step of R&D, raw materials extract, production, distribution, marketing, sales, administration, tax compliance, etc.) and adds a 23-cents-on-the-dollar tax back at the consumption side of new goods and all business-to-customer services via a national retail sales tax. 

I describe how making this change immediately makes the United States a tax-haven which would attract capital investment and opportunity back to our lands and provide more jobs and more prosperity. 

I describe how making this change invites those who live among us who evade and avoid income taxes now (about 30% of our population) to contribute and pay their fair share which would stop breaking the backs of middle and upper-middle classes who are paying more than their fair share. 

Yet, Andrew describes my responses as Obamaesque… change for change sake... Is that really fair? 

I wonder what kind of detail Andrew is looking for?  Hmm.  How about the equivalent of an Environmental Impact Report?  Would he read it?  He won't read the FairTax books (heck, he knows enough about the FairTax to get by with just the second book - "FairTax the Truth- Answering the Critics"... 200 pages... a weekend read).  I can see that he blogs a ton and getting clarification from a well-thought-out and well-presented source might be more of a commitment than he is ready for but, heck, the back and forth between Andrew and I might have been much reduced...  It may be a lost cause.

If I recall correctly, Andrew is in software development which is my profession as well.  I wonder if Andrew has ever written a software application and then found a need to make adjustments either right before implimenting the solution or shortly afterward?  It is not uncommon...  In fact, one Solution Framework that is widely used recommends solving the heart of the matter in primary interations (envision, plan, develop, stabilize, deploy) and then work out further details in subsequent iterations (rinse, lather, repeat)...  The heart of the matter...  What is the heart of the matter for someone like Andrew?  Perhaps I should ask...

Andrew, you have a wonderful ability to communication in written form and it is clear that you enjoy doing it.  Let's team up and come up with a vision for what a system of taxation should accomplish.  I will start with the following vision statement. I really hope you will help complete it/refine it.

To me, a system of taxation should: 

  1. 1.      be simple – so that we all understand it (not just tax attorneys)
  2. 2.      fund our government at the same level of current funding
  3. 3.      promote economic growth – not retard it
  4. 4.      promote U.S. competitiveness internationally – not impede it
  5. 5.      invite capital investment and jobs to our lands – not chase them away.
  6. 6.      accelerate capital formation necessary for real wages to steadily increase – not slow it
  7. 7.      increase productivity not lower it
  8. 8.      respect privacy and civil rights of U.S. citizens - not intrude upon it
  9. 9.      make the true cost of government transparent – not hide it
  10. 10. accelerate upward social mobility – not impede it
  11. 11. lower the cost of employment – not raise it
  12. 12. create jobs and maximize employment – not destroy jobs and create unemployment
  13. 13. treat everyone equitably – not have a disproportionately adverse affect on the poor
  14. 14. encourage capital formation and entrepreneurship – not discourage it
  15. 15. level the playing field between large enterprise and small business – not foster continued dominance of large enterprise over small business
  16. 16. remove tax planning as a burden to all entities – not impose unacceptably high tax planning
  17. 17. be easy to administer – not difficult
  18. 18. address Social Security and Medicare funding problems going forward – not ignore them

How is this for a start? As you state, let’s not just have change for change sake… that would be Obamaesque which, to me, is unacceptable.

I look forward to yours (and/or others') comments.

Best,

YK

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FairTax arguments - Theory vs. Practice

I have been having interesting discussions with AndrewS recently about his view that the FairTax is quite flawed an about my view that the FairTax would be the best thing since sliced bread. AndrewS posts on many interesting topics and he has very interesting and well-thought-out and extremely well written communication about his positions – many of which I agree with. His last communication “Why Argue” seems to make the case that by pointing out perceived theoretical flaws in the FairTax without offering up solutions is somehow a good thing. I see things differently.

In this world, I know two things with certainty… (1) those entities who succeed (individuals, businesses, governments) are those that come up with solutions to problems – not just problems with solutions and (2) you cannot please everyone all of time. It is easy to poke holes in any theory… 1770’s – Will democracy (a theory at that time) be a good thing? 1985ish - What happens if we (Microsoft) release Windows 3.0 with known imprefections? 2008 - What are the risks of the prebate becoming some uncontrollable welfare mechanism? What happens if the video rental service games the system by selling once-used DVDs as used in order to avoid taxation? Sometimes, though, implementing an imperfect solution is far better than doing nothing. 

Why did I mention Windows 3.1? Because I am in the technology industry. Also because many of us know that IBM’s OS2 and Apple’s Macintosh OS were far better at the time. But had Microsoft not released Windows 3.1 as an answer to the graphical world that was taking the computer operating systems by storm, it would have missed the boat entirely.   Were the risks weighed? I have to think YES. Did the rewards outweigh the risks? Absolutely YES. What would have happened had Microsoft taken a few more years to get the product much more stable before marketing? OS2 or Macintosh OS would have taken over market share and Microsoft would be a shadow of its current self.

Now, in our fast-moving globally competitive world of today… can we afford for the United States of America to miss the boat? What boat?   

Folks, while there are many things to get excited about with the FairTax, one of the most exciting things is making the United States more competitive both for our own consumers and for consumers away from our lands who buy products and services offered by U.S. companies. The prosperity argument is huge… I just don’t see it addressed in our current tax structure (other than rhetoric about penalizing companies for sending jobs overseas by some presidential candidates). I also don’t see it addressed with the FlatTax as I understand it. 

Again, the prosperity argument is that, under the FairTax, taxation is stripped away completely from the productivity side and replaced on the consumption side (national sales tax – with prebate). When this happens, it levels the playing field with imported items (untaxed coming into our lands) such that American-made items can complete for shelf-space at in our retail stores and markets. Stripping away these taxes from the productivity side also makes US-made goods/services more competitive globally.

By persuading others about “perceived flaws” with the FairTax without offering up solutions, I argue that we remain stuck in neutral (or worse yet… reverse) in a fast-changing globally competitive market. 

The mountain to climb in order to take back our country from politicians who create winners and losers with our 66,000 pages of tax code is extremely high. Washington is not going to want to give up this power without a fight. It is very clear to me that We The People need to rally around one viable (perhaps not perfect) alternative to the current system otherwise guess what? We get to keep our existing oppressive and abusive current system that manipulates the free markets and that puts us at a competitive disadvantage. 

We have an opportunity to be honest about things and recognize that our tax code (including Social Security and Medicare) is a huge problem that, if left unsolved, will cripple us.   We also have an opportunity to do something. Actively supporting the FairTax is doing something that is fair and that has extreme benefit in many areas that touch our lives.

Peace,

YK

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What is Right about the FairTax Prebate... A reply to an opposing view.

 

Here is another reply to a FairTax debate with AndrewS. My reply is to his blog post HERE

Andrew,

The prebate is really a good idea. It basically is a provision that puts family survival ahead of government. In the your posts I get the impression that there is no love of government ahead of the family so I would hope that you see the elegance of this.

The prebate is not designed as a welfare mechanism. Can it be monkeyed with? Well, with fewer dials to turn, raising the prebate amount (i.e. raising the poverty line) will have to offset by more consumption (more prosperity) or a higher FairTax rate (more than 23%) which is another feather in the cap of transparency. How many dials are there? Poverty line and FairTax rate = 2 dials. Not bad…

In fact, I would argue that the FairTax and the prebate system will help wean people off of welfare (and welfare checks). I believe that people want to have more self-reliance. Capital and Job repatriation will create greater prosperity in our lands. The FairTax and the monthly prebate basically remove obstacles from welfare recipients climbing out of poverty (i.e. lack of opportunity, complex taxation, welfare mindset, etc.).   When I refer to a welfare mindset, I consider that a welfare recipient receiving “welfare” vs. all families receiving a “prebate” puts welfare folks in an entirely different category with stigma, reliance, etc. associated with it. If everyone gets the prebate there is no “welfare mindset” or stigma that is associated with it. Your statement that FairTax supporters just believe the prebate check is just a refund incorrect. Again, it is putting family survival ahead of government. Plenty of people will not need it but the fact that everyone residing here legally WILL get it should appeal to your sense of fairness.

It seems as though Andrew argues that once legal residents are used to it that they will never want to give it up I believe misses the point. In this case, it is a really good provision that should remain indefinitely. We want government to know that family survival comes first – even ahead of government funding. All families who legally reside here do have a right to survival ahead of government funding. This is a good message and this is a good provision.

Andrew claims that the prebate will take on a life of its own… there are two dials as indicated above. (1) the poverty line and (2) FairTax rate. Okay, there are some minor sub-dials in how the Dept of Health Services constructs the poverty tables (i.e. 1 adult/0 children, 2 adults/2 children) but I hope we can agree that this is insignificant. I see the poverty line being shaped by inflation – not by the politicians.

Andrew claims that the prebate could start as dealing only with taxes but then grow to an even bigger “entitlement”. What he fails to realize is that the prebate goes to everyone based on the same criteria. What political capital will a politician gain by giving the same “entitlement” to everyone? Wouldn’t that be foolish? And if we aren’t tracking income there is no way to differentiate between rich, poor, middle-class which is one of the beauties of it.

I think in Andrew’s last statements about his “general opposition to making people view the government as a source of money” he has it backward. I have opposition to making government view that its funding comes before survival of every legal family and that government only gets funded after basic family survival handled.

Peace,

YK

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More FairTax/Flat Tax debate

 

Andrew replied to another of my comments on his blog with another blog entry HERE

While I agree with Andrew that no tax system will remove all uncertainties and all opportunities to game the system, I believe that the FairTax does a better job than the existing system and the Flat Tax.

Andrew tosses out a scenario with a DVD rental service and indicates that it would be uncertain whether used DVD’s would create a grey area that DVD rental businesses would have uncertainties with. Now I fully appreciate that DVD rental businesses may rent a DVD only once (and charge the FairTax on the rental) & then treat it as used with an ability to sell with no FairTax… I can also appreciate that overstocked DVDs that were intended to be rented but that were never actually rented might provide some uncertainty.  Chalk this particular scenario as more certain under a Flat Tax.

But I believe that most scenarios are much more certain under the FairTax. Take Walmart… 23 cents on the dollar goes to the tax period. Take your pool maintenance service… Add all service sales and subtract any refunds provided & 23 cents on the dollar goes to the tax. Take your restaurants… Gross receipts less refunds * .23 go to the tax. Your $1,000 removal of that mole that has been bothering you for years… $230 goes to the tax.

Okay, if you have a shop that sells new and used items, they will have to track sales differently but, heck, cash registers have been doing this for years (taxable and untaxable items). Rocket science? No. Potential for dishonesty? Yes. But if I were setting up the tax enforcement/auditing side of things I might put more focus on businesses that report sale of a significant volume of used goods just to let them know that the random audits will be keeping them under the microscope just a little more than businesses that don’t offer both. 

Andrews also believes that because the FairTax is calculated on billions of transactions that it would be more troublesome. The truth is that income-based taxes involve billions of transactions on both sides of the ledger and and every step of channel (manufacturing/import, distribution, etc.) in order to product a profit/loss (i.e. income). It is more complex to calculate income than it is to calculate a tax based on sales (even if you have to differentiate between new and used goods).  Another good point here is that the FairTax only applies to business-to-consumer (b2c) vs. b2b. Of the roughly 30 million businesses, many are b2b - distribution and/or business services (legal, marketing, etc.) - that support the b2b. If ~10 million are b2b, that is 10 million (monthly?) sales tax filings as opposed to 300 million annual income tax filings + 30 million corporate tax filings. Where do you think most uncertainty will exist?

Andrew claims that there will be chaos because no one will audit b2c businesses? I do wish he would debate fairly… I took time to communicate that my state of California would be funded on the order of $3.86b  through tax receipts to administer/audit the FairTax (in addition to what the state already has to admin/audit its current sales tax).  

Andrew claims that he wants folks to be fully informed about many options before deciding. Normally, I would agree. But we are not battling We The People here. We are battling politicians who are taking our country down a populist path for their own interest and for the interest of the lobbyists who keep them elected. Many options confuse the masses. A core idea needs to be rallied around. I maintain that the core idea should be the FairTax. 

Why the FairTax over the FlatTax? I have posted key reasons but don’t know how to do a trackback yet. Key reasons are as follows:

1.       The FairTax reverses the trend of jobs, capital, and opportunity being chased away from our lands from income-based taxation.

2.       The FairTax makes our nation more competitive (both at home and abroad).

3.       The FairTax spreads the tax burden to all who consume within our lands (including those operating in the shadows).

4.       The FairTax has us contributing to gov’t only after we pay for basic essentials of life through the tax prebate provision.

5.       The FairTax allows younger workers to choose to gain financial security ahead of contributing more to the gov’t vs. requiring younger workers to pay as they earn on the income side.

Finally (and Andrew, you might not appreciate this) I do encourage folks to read the book or at least scan through http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairtax to get more of a sense of it. Information is power.

Cheers,

YK

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FairTax Considerations for California

This is a consolidation of comments I made at a fellow blogger's blog considering costs of administering the FairTax... 

Regarding the bureaucracy:

There was a question as to whether the FairTax would add bureaucracy vs. slim it down. 

I addressed the consideration by mentioning that the FairTax would leverage the Social Security Administration to manage the tax prebates and existing state sales tax systems in 45 of the 50 states and that 1% of national sales tax is split between business collecting the FairTax and the collecting state agency to administer. We would not need nearly the number of administrators, auditors, etc. that the IRS employs and that the bureaucracy would significantly decrease.

With the babyboom generation retiring, the Social Security Administration (SSA) is going to have to administer payments to 30% of the households anyway.

As far as the states go... boy, it sure seems to me that streamlining taxes to do away with income/corporate/cap gains/estate taxes in favor of sales taxes would create great economies of scale.

I live in California (8.25% sales tax in my county). If it were an embedded tax and it broadened to include b2c services as well as sales of new goods, AND it did away with income/corp/cap gains/estate taxes I still can't imagine that State/Fed combined here would exceed 30% inclusive AND STILL NOT AFFECT PRICES MATERIALLY. I can envision states having their own tax prebate and administering the federal tax prebate as well to create even more efficiencies.

Also, with regard to enforcement... I believe there are something like 30 million businesses in the U.S. How many sell business to consumer (b2c)? Half?

If 15 million businesses were randomly audited at 1% per year we are talking about 500 thousand businesses. Is that 10,000 field agents? How many field agents does the IRS have currently?

Even if it were 20,000 filed agents and the audits were pretty extensive (reconcile the profit and loss statement and cost-of-sales to prove out sales receipts). Heck, just because there is no income reporting to the IRS doesn't mean that businesses won't need to secure credit/financing for their businesses which will require certification of income statements and balance sheets for bank purposes. A field agent could request this type of information and ask biz owners to reconcile sales with sales numbers on the financial statements.

If businesses are caught cheating, they lose their business licenses.

 

California's Revenue Estimates for 2008/2009 budgets are as follows:

-
Personal Income Tax - $56b
- Sales/Use Tax - $29b
- Corporate Tax - $12b

Shifting $68b of Personal Income and Corporate Tax to Sales Tax might sound daunting but I wonder what adding services in addition to goods does? If it were just goods (as it is now), the Sales Tax rate would more than triple - 8% to more like 25% (exclusive) - closer to 20% inclusive.

I have to think that services outweigh goods though (insurance, medical treatments, legal, entertainment, etc.) Even if the 23% embedded tax ultimately became a 33% embedded tax for a state like California but the prices didn't materially change AND no personal tax filings... I still like it. Why did I go here? That's right, to get a sense of how much 1% of revenues would be to administer...

 

I found 2005 California State Product figures quickly HERE. In 2005 California's Gross State Product was 1.6 trillion. Okay, I really am not sure whether that constitutes b2c biz or whether it includes b2b as well.

I do know that 29 billion was collected in sales tax at roughly 7.5% which is $386b. If we double it (adding services) to $773b and take .5% administration fee by the Fed it would provide California with $3.86b to administer the collection of the FairTax. That might afford some decent auditing activity as well.

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FairTax reply to GyroTyro

This is a reply to GyroTyro's comments HERE

GyroToro… 

How do I get this point across?  Prices will not change materially.  Prices will not change materially.   When Boortz says that retirees will not get “as good of a deal” why are you interpreting it as “retirees will get the shaft”?  In fact, retirees will get a good deal but current workers will get a better deal.  What is wrong with that?  If you had to walk five miles to school in the snow but your child got to ride the bus are you bitter about the progress or are you thankful?

Let me ask you a question.  Please answer this honestly.  The question requires that you  make an assumption that goes against your grain but if you answer honestly we can come back to the meat of the issue.

If…  if you go under the assumption that prices will not change materially (i.e. a $10,000 medical procedure will still cost $10,000 after the FairTax, a loaf of bread will still cost, what, $2 before and after, a car wash will still run $10, etc.), AND you get a $200/month payment by the Fed for yourself (another $200/month if you are married), AND your children/grandchildren would be far better off, would you at least consider the possibility?

Again, answer the question with the assumption as true but then question the assumption as the next exercise.

If you answer “no” to the question than you should be against any form of progress or benefit to generations that come behind you.  You will have wanted your child to walk in the snow just like you did so that they appreciate what you went though.  I appreciate what you went through… Our tax mess wasn’t born on your watch.  It grew worse over time.  It happens to be time for a change though.

If you answer “yes” to the question that we can unravel why the prices will remain materially the same (not dollar-for-dollar on every specific item but on average – similar).   I am happy to go through the math with you … that your $85 actually buys $85 in merchandise but I need you to be honest about the question first.

Peace,

YK
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More tax discussion... FairTax & Flat Tax

Further discussion on the FairTax with friends over here 

I do think the nitpickiness caused impatience on my end. Apologies.

I have a blog started now but hope a civil reply here is welcome.

Here are the main advantages in my view that the FairTax has over the Flat Tax:

1.       Pricing of U.S.-made products. Under any income tax, tax costs must ultimately be priced into the product before going to the register. This means that many imports have an unfair advantage since many have taxes stripped away (credited back) when the leave the country for export.

2.       Flat Tax still has a major tax avoidance issue – more-so than what I believe is possible by the FairTax. I personally really like that illegal aliens and other tax evaders/tax avoiders would pay into the system (and relieve some of the excess tax for those of us who tow the line). How does the Flat Tax invite those who don’t file into the system?

3.       I personally like that we don’t pay into the system until we consume basic necessities with the tax prebate. I also like that those who don’t reside here legally do not participate in the prebate.

4.       Not sure what the Flat Tax does with corp taxes, capital gains, and estate taxes but I can’t imagine that payroll taxes (SocSec, Medicare) go away on the production side. I really like that the FairTax strips all of this away and invites jobs, capital, and opportunity back to our lands to help our economy and national competitiveness.

5.       I like the transparency of the FairTax. I also like that we have control over when we contribute and how much base on choosing to consume or not.  We can go into savings/investment mode early in our careers and then contribute more to the gov’t more when we are more financially secure.

6.       I like the idea of not having to file an income tax return.

There are really a lot of really great reasons. Yes, there will need administration… but 30 million businesses vs. 300 million taxable individuals? It just seems that administration is much easier than under a Flat Tax and infinitely easier than under the current tax system.

Are there issues? Yes. Corrupt people will still evade the system but my sense tells me that it will be more difficult to fully evade. Besides, greater prosperity and freedom will lift our country out of much of this evasion mindset.

Would it be difficult for states to administrate? No

Would it be difficult for SSA to handle prebates? No

Are there issues to work out? Yes. But nothing major.

For all that I have studied (and yes, I read both books) I haven’t seen anything as positive as the FairTax. I hope folks continue to have the conversation. 

Peace,

YK

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FairTax replies to GyroTyro

Bringing a spirited discussion of the FairTax here from comments by GyroTyro Reply #189 HERE...

GyroTyro,

I don't know what to tell you.  Really I don't.  I honestly believe that the only losers with the FairTax are tax evaders, foreign tourists to an extent (but more to level the playing field), and those who have hugh real estate holdings who live off drawing equity tax free in the form of loans in a near-constantly appreciating market.

I do have my self interest at heart because I want a freer nation for my children and all current/future generations but I do not want this at the expense of any one group nor do I believe that it will be at the expense of any one group.

The FT makes a sense and there is really something in it for everyone.  Even tax evaders and tax avoiders won't get hit because prices will not materially change. 

Read:  SEC. 2. CONGRESSIONAL FINDINGS found here:  HERE.

There are so many benfits.  Please open your mind to it rather than dig in your heals.

If there isn't a material difference in prices of goods and services to you with the FairTax and you won't have to report income and pay income taxes to the fed any longer, is that a bad thing?

Okay, having read your last post... I did go back and read more of your 15 posts...  It would be nice if you didn't call them schemes...  it is very clear that you really do believe that someone is taking something from you.

When Linder/Boortz replied retired folks "aren't getting as good a deal" it didn't mean that retired folks are losing anything.   Retired folks just aren't gaining as much as working folks but they are gaining.  Hey, any soldier who died on our behalf didn't get as good of a deal as either of us but we all gained from their sacrafices.  We can draw a line in the sand now and make this a better place for current/future generations or we can continue to piddle along with jobs, capital, opportunity being chased away from our lands...

If it helps some more but it helps all (but evaders) some are you against it?

Peace,

YK

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My Issues with the Flat Tax...

Andrews and I have been having a bit of a debate about the FairTax...  Since his article HERE on the Flat Tax is not an excessively long read, I feel it best to comment. 
 
Andrews believes that the flat tax...
It is fair because it taxes everyone an equal percentage of their income. In theory, we all receive the benefits of the government, so we all should pay. And, to be honest, even a flat tax is unfair in some ways. The poor receive an inordinate share of government benefits, so should really pay more. And, I know some leftists say the rich have more for the police to protect, so benefit more, but I would argue the poor live in more dangerous neighborhoods, and so actually have more to fear from crime, so they benefit more there.
What about the large numbers of people who evade income taxes altogether?  The "cash" business - anything underground, anything illegal alien...  Income tax payers will continue to pay their share pus tax evaders' share.  This is much harder to do with the FairTax (national sales tax) when buying eggs and milk.  Sure, there will be those who evade sales tax but it would be extremely difficult to run cash transactions on all goods/services consumed.  Think Walmart is going to take a chance running cash? 
 
What about corporate and death taxes?  Do those go away with the Flat Tax?
1. The tax must be paid by everyone who earns even 1 cent in the course of a year. If we exempt people who earn under $10,000 or under $20,000 or some other number, or a floating scale depending on family size, or exempt anyone at all we create problems.
What... are we talking about taxing the kids running the lemonade stand now?  Many people consider that it is good to give the less fortunate a break.  While I agree that a constant value is better than what we have now, I like the consumption tax with a prebate because it is progressive in that (1) it is scaleable to individual consumption based on means and (2) it further untaxes the poor.  I know my friend Andrews is concerned about a welfare state but if we somehow make it extremely difficult for the government to go outside of the scope of the prebate it really is a great solution.
2. There must be NO withholding. Our current system is based on a lie, or, to be a bit less harsh, a deceptive system.
We are actually in agreement here.  It is far to easy for taxpayers to be blind to what they are actually paying unless they actually have to cut a check or somehow see the money leave their bank account.
One last caveat:  If we institute this flat tax, I would also eliminate corporate taxes, along with any other form of taxation which is not assessed against individual income. (Excepting, perhaps, a uniform import duty. Though I would only allow the tariff in hopes of eventually transitioning from an income tax to a tariff-only federal tax system.)
Well, another point largely in agreement.  I would argue that Andrews understands completely that all taxes to corporations get passed onto consumers the price of products.  I still favor the FairTax because even taxing labor on the production side works its way into the pricing of goods and services that are touched in some way by American labor.  Strip all the embedded taxes away and replace them with a 23-cents-on-the-dollar national sales tax and... prices remain relatively the same in our lands post-FairTax but our imports are much more competitive abroad as well.
 
I am not sure what Andrews' Flat Tax does with Capital Gains and Estate Taxes, nor do I know what flat rate he is proposing so I cannot comment as of yet.
 
So, Andrews and I are not that far apart afterall but I do still feel that the FairTax is much better because it is inclusive of all who consume within our lands, it would be great for our economy and our national competitiveness, and it would be very easy to administer - both by business and by tax collectors (the states).
 
Oh, and Andrews... I did take the time to read your post.  I do realize that a 200 page FairTax book is more of a commitment but the book really does address a lot of issues.
 
Cheers,
 
YK
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FairTax - Full Reply to Andrews

This is in reply to posts from Andrews found here

With regard to "not sure if worth writing"... I can only say that it is difficult to discuss something with someone who prefaces most posts with something along the lines of can't be bothered to read a 200 page book... The book does answer many questions.

1. If you are not sure about indian reservations why bring it up? Don't you think folks on an indian reservation will purchase goods and services like everyone else?

2. The FT is designed to be revenue neutral now. My point was that it grows with national prosperity without choking national prosperity.

3. If you read the book you will understand that consumption in U.S. lands is taxed. That means that imports for resale arrive in our lands untaxed but then get taxed at the register. Duty is something paid on items purchased by individuals away from our lands meant for direct consumption within our lands vs. for resale.

4. State Sales Tax Compliance is currently monitored by the state... Of course there will be a record of sales (receipts). State Sales Tax audits occur in the course of business today. How difficult will it be to do a sampling of, say, 1% of businesses with resale licenses vs. 1% of all income-related activities of all tax payers? 

5. SSA adding new people or costs? To what extent? The way you present it it becomes a huge burden. It might add 10% to the overhead of SSA (probably less). Remember, we are not hand-writing checks any longer.

6. Child Custody… how about the last legal custodian gets the tax prebate and any other claim will be rejected unless there is mutual agreement (or court order) to change custody.  Mountain vs. mole hill?

7. State Sovereignty… really? If the state is in the union and gets the benefits of being in the union… do you think they will put up a huge fight? If they do, perhaps the Fed sets up shop for that one (at most 5) state(s). Those states will still have to adjust their tax system if they rely on 1040 filing. Besides, what state in their right mind would want to tax income and chase away all of their business (and residents) when every other state goes to a form of the FairTax?

8. I don’t see every citizen turning into a welfare case. You do… too bad. I would consider the $537 that my family would get a tax prebate and nothing more. The other nice thing about the prebate is that it goes to legal residents. Illegal aliens are not in the system and, therefore, do not get the rebate check. Think some might want to become legal or exit the country in this case?

9. re you doing a bate-and-switch here? I thought you were talking about state taxes. I am not suggesting that any other federal tax will be hooked beyond the FT. In fact, if the gov’t voted one into law… don’t you think it would cause a revolution? Let’s say we were taxed on consumption all of our years and then the government voted to add a VAT or income tax or anything… Want another tea party?

10. Now, let me address your tone since you were kind enough to address mine… it is your blog and I did take time out of my day to reply. I received a thank you and for the most part a civil discussion. You do have a condescending tone to your message though (as if “you” know better). I invite you to turn it around though… Since you know better, defend the 66,000 pages of tax code. Why are all of the issues that you raise better under the income/corporate/payroll/death tax system that we have? Are you really interested in seeing more business relocate away from our lands? More capital investment in other lands? Opportunity and prosperity going to other lands? 

Open your mind… This would be an amazing thing for our country. It makes soo much sense. Unfortunately, it isn’t as easy of a concept as an amendment to give women the right to vote (simple black and white… little grey area there). It is more complex. The FairTax is not perfect but it is night-and-day better than anything else going.

Peace,

YK

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